The effect of recency bias on decision-making can be quite potent. The largest disparity in total yards gained between teams this season was 154 yards, which occurred in Week 1 when the Defenders were defeated. The Defenders' offense was abysmal, gaining only 93 yards via the air on 9 of 21 attempts for a 9 percent completion rate. They followed it up with an 18-6 victory over a winless Vegas team in the rain, and suddenly they were +300 co-favorites in the futures market. I shall take advantage of the situation by snatching the road dog with points because the credit is undeserved.

The matchup between St. Louis and their shared foe resulted in the former seeming far more formidable (Seattle). In addition, they are quite good at preserving the football, which will lessen the effect of the Defenders' defense. McCarron has led two game-winning drives in the fourth quarter in as many weeks, demonstrating the team's maturity and ability to close out games.